X-LAB / HUMAN EVOLUTION RESEARCH AGENDA
10 millennium questions. 20 era themes. A growing portfolio of testable research questions.
The agenda is now structured in three layers: enduring questions humanity may face for centuries, era themes made urgent by current technological change, and canonical research questions that can connect to hypotheses, experiments, prototypes and evidence.
MILLENNIUM 01
Truth & Knowledge
How can humanity know what is true, what it knows, and when it may be wrong?
T-003
Scientific Discovery & Knowledge Systems
T-004
Truth Infrastructure & Shared Reality
T-005
World Models & Decision under Uncertainty
文明如何面对自己暂时完全无法理解的事物?
Canonical Chinese wording
当旧世界模型无法解释新环境时,文明如何避免系统性误判?
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一个高级文明能否在‘不知道答案’的情况下仍然做出相对正确的行动?
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如何建立文明级的认知韧性与持续学习能力?
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人类能否建立持续更新、可校准、可推演并接受现实反馈的‘文明世界模型’?
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人类如何发现自己的世界模型正在失效,并校准‘我们可能错了’的概率?
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MILLENNIUM 02
Consciousness, Self & Human Value
What are consciousness and self, and what ultimately grounds human value?
MILLENNIUM 03
Learning, Enhancement & Human Development
How can humans learn, develop and enhance capability while preserving agency and integrity?
T-001
Human × AI Cognitive Coevolution
当AI越来越强,人如何同步提升自己的认知能力,而不是成为AI进化的旁观者?
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为什么同样的AI工具,不同的人会产生千差万别的结果?人的认知结构、思维方式、关注点与判断力如何决定人机联合能力圈?
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人的智力上限能否进一步突破?教育、AI、神经科学、脑机接口等能否增强人的认知能力?
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AI能否成为人的‘认知镜子’,帮助人发现自己的惯性、盲区、选择与因果?
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人的情绪系统、自我认知与自我调节能力能否进一步进化?
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MILLENNIUM 04
Intelligence & Coexistence
How does intelligence arise, and how will humanity coexist with different or more capable intelligences?
T-008
AI Symbiosis & Machine Consciousness
MILLENNIUM 05
Cooperation, Organization & Power
How can humanity cooperate across deep differences while keeping necessary power accountable?
T-009
Organization Forms & Agent Economy
T-010
Cooperation Engineering & Conflict Transformation
T-012
Power, Governance & Institutional Velocity
技术已经进步数百倍,我们的组织、协作和治理能力是否实现了同等级别的进化?
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几十亿拥有不同利益的人,如何做出更好的共同决策?
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AI、模拟系统和实时社会数据能否催生新的治理技术?
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当机器智能的决策与行动速度超过制度的理解与治理速度时,人类如何保持有效控制?
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AI时代新的认知权力、模型权力与基础设施权力如何形成、分配与制衡?
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MILLENNIUM 06
Wealth, Scarcity & Distribution
As production changes, what remains scarce and how should wealth be created, owned and distributed?
MILLENNIUM 07
Living Systems, Evolution & Creation
How does life originate, organize, persist and evolve, and how will reading, rewriting and building living systems reshape humanity, other life and civilization?
T-006
Life Maintenance, Repair & Healthspan
T-021
Understanding & Predicting Living Systems
T-022
Reading & Rewriting Genomes
T-023
Synthetic Biology & Life Creation
T-024
Biotechnology & Civilizational Transformation
MILLENNIUM 08
Civilizational Resilience, Memory & Continuity
Why do civilizations rise, destabilize and collapse, and how can they preserve capability and memory across crises and generations?
T-013
Civilization Resilience & Catastrophic Response
如果今天重新面对‘大禹治水’级别的超大规模洪灾,人类能否利用AI、卫星、数字孪生、现代工程和组织能力做得更好?
Canonical Chinese wording
如果重新面对中世纪黑死病级别的大瘟疫,现代文明能否更快发现、预测、研发、组织和恢复?
Canonical Chinese wording
面对极端气候、能源危机、粮食危机、重大自然灾害乃至AI系统性风险,人类文明能否保持稳定运行?
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文明是否存在可测量的‘生命体征’与失稳前兆,并能支持提前干预?
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T-014
Civilization Memory & Long-Term Continuity
MILLENNIUM 09
Planetary & Cross-Celestial Civilization
How can humanity evolve from a single-planet species into a civilization capable of planetary stewardship and cross-celestial continuity?
T-015
Planetary Systems Governance
一个真正具备行星级治理能力的文明,需要什么样的感知、预测、决策、协调和执行系统?
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行星级治理能力需要跨越哪些感知、预测、协调、执行与合法性门槛?
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我们能否理解并协调地球的能源、水、生态、气候、人口、城市和资源循环?
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人类如何从地球环境的被动使用者,成为具备行星尺度感知、协调、修复和风险管理能力的文明?
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人类未来是否可能安全地进行行星级环境改造?
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T-016
Ecology & Non-Human Life Ethics
T-017
Off-Earth Autonomous Systems
人类如何真正离开地球长期生存,而不是依靠地球持续输血的短期驻留?
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一个地外人类社会如何实现能源、食物、空气、水、工业、医疗、生育、教育和治理的自主循环?
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月球、火星以及其他天体能否形成真正可持续的人类文明节点?
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一个文明达到哪些技术、人口、经济、自主循环与政治自治阈值,才可以被称为真正的多行星文明?
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T-018
Cislunar Cross-Celestial Civilization
MILLENNIUM 10
Evolution Direction & Self-Governance
What should humanity evolve toward, and how can it govern its own evolution without self-destruction?
T-007
Human Enhancement & Post-Human Futures
T-020
Meaning & Evolution Governance
人的价值是否来自智力,还是来自意识、体验、创造、情感、关系或生命本身?
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如果AI承担大量工作、物质生产高度自动化、人的寿命显著延长,人为什么活着?
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当工作、生存竞争等传统意义来源发生变化,人类如何建立新的意义系统?
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我们不仅要让人活得更久、更强,还要回答:如何让更长、更强的人生值得活?
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人类是否正在从‘环境选择人’进入‘人类开始选择自己’的时代?
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当我们拥有修改基因、身体、认知、AI伙伴乃至创造新生命的能力时,如何避免进化能力本身成为灾难?
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人类如何获得‘驾驭自身进化’的能力?
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